Mapping the projected rise in vulnerable families and children

A report recently released by The Children’s Society, NSPCC and Action for Children estimated that the number of vulnerable families and children is set to rise significantly across the UK over the next few years.

Across England, the number of vulnerable families is estimated to rise from 110,000 in 2010 to 130,000 in 2015. During the same period, children living in those families are projected to rise from 270,000 to 310,000.

‘Vulnerable families’ are those with at least five of seven key vulnerability indicators (worklessness, poor quality housing, no qualifications, maternal mental health problems, long term illness or disability, low income and material deprivation.)

As the In the Eye of the Storm report (full textsummary) makes clear, changes in spending on taxes, benefits and public services, and the current economic climate are driving the increased vulnerability.

The maps look in more detail at the data on vulnerable families, presenting projections for 2015 across the nine regions and 152 local authorities in England.

To generate the data for these maps, the report used analysis produced by the government in 2011 estimating the distribution of families with multiple problems across all local areas in England and replicated this method to project the number and proportion of vulnerable children and families in each region and local authority, based on the new estimates for 2015 presented in In the Eye of the Storm. (Read the report’s methodology.)

Warwickshire

The proportion of children that are projected to be vulnerable in 2015

Estimated numbers for 2015:

876 vulnerable families (774 in 2010)

2,144 vulnerable children (1,855 in 2010)

Proportion of children estimated to be vulnerable in 2015: 1.9% (1.7% in 2010)

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