Warwickshire Police and Crime Plan and Community Safety Agreement 2014 – 2017

 

The ObseFront Cover CSAv2rvatory have contributed and helped to produce the new aligned Warwickshire Police and Crime Plan and Community Safety Agreement.

It is believed it is the first of its kind in the country! The document shows how Warwickshire agencies will work together to tackle crime and improve community safety.

 

Find the full report here…..

Aligned Warwickshire Police and Crime Plan and Community Safety Agreement

 

Conducting Research on the Care Leavers Project for Digital By Default

dbd-research (1)This week saw the start of the research element of the Care Leavers Project as part of the Digital by Default programme. This project is looking at how we currently provide support services to Care Leavers, and how we might use digital technologies to improve outcomes for Care Leavers. Over the next three weeks, members of the project team will be spending time with care leavers who have agreed to talk to us and allow us to gather our “user needs”. We are spending approximately 6 hours with each care leaver, seeing how they go about their daily lives, and asking questions about the Care Leavers Service. We want to understand how activities, technology and appropriate support and services can improve future outcomes for Care Leavers.

The first visit took place on Tuesday, with one of the project team from the Observatory spending the day with a care leaver who is a young mother. She used to live with a foster carer in Warwickshire, but now living independantly in a city centre. The day was spent both at their home and shopping with the children, her friend and boyfriend. During this time many questions were asked about how and why she does things, her experience of life and the care services and various topics were covered such as communication, aspirations and attitudes. As you can imagine, spending the day with a young person is a daunting task, especially living in a social deprived area, when it is at times surrounded by gangs.

“The experience was extremely rewarding – yes the area was everything that you would expect but I felt fully protected by the people that I was with when shown around the local area. The care leaver spent the day answering my questions, taking me through a typical day that she would experience, taking me shopping to her local supermarkets (alongside her friend and baby).

I noticed a few interesting things throughout my time with them:

– the planning around shopping at a number of different supermarkets in order to get items at the lowest prices e.g. Aldi for nappies, main shop at Tesco (for value products primarily), Iceland for all frozen food. But no fruit or vegetables! All food was convenience food and easy to cook e.g. beans, pizzas, instant noodles.

– Using top ups to manage her mobile phone – only spending £10 per month getting unlimited internet but typically running out of text messages. She hadn’t purchased her phone from a typical provider but from Cash Generator and her friend agreed this was the cheapest way to get a phone.

– Buying the majority of clothes and some household items from ebay and Gumtree – sometimes getting items for free if they would collect. All of the clothes for the children they buy in bundles on these websites for very small amounts of money.

– Attitudes towards others were very broad e.g. “social workers are all the same”. She had branded everyone with one view based upon experiences with just a couple of people. She had a very similar view towards her neighbours and local people.

– Ability to manage money – as money is tight every penny counts!

– A desperate need to not repeat the life she had for her children. She was trying to seek advice on how to get out to work and have a career that she wanted but felt she was not getting the support to do this.”

 

The entire experience has been fascinating and a real eye opener for the project team. Pre-conceptions that the team had before they conducted the research are being challenged by many of the people that they are meeting. It is already proving to be a very valuable method of conducting research and engaging with young people that access our services. It has already highlighted ways and methods that we can engage better with care leavers and will ultimately help identify ways that we can help them access services in the future.
This is the first post of many by the project team but hopefully it gives an insight into the very useful research that we are conducting.

Warwickshire’s population projected to increase to 623,900 people by 2037

The primary purpose of the subnational projections is to provide an estimate of the future size and age structure of the population of local authorities in England. The latest 2012-based projections released by the ONS yesterday suggest Warwickshire is projected to be home to 623,900 people by 2037.  This is a 13.9% increase or 75,900 people in the 25 year period, lower than the equivalent national increase of 16.2%.

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How a population is projected to change locally depends on a number of factors that can interact and produce very different growth rates to England as a whole. The size and age structure of the population at mid-2012 is a big indicator of the future population.

Warwickshire’s population as a whole is projected to be more heavily influenced by migration than natural change (births-deaths) into the future and particularly in later years of the projection, internal migration (between local authorities) plays a larger role in influencing the figures.

Some local planning needs are directly relevant to specific age groups and therefore it is important to understand the possible changes to the age structure of an area when planning for the future.

Overall Warwickshire is expected to grow by 13.9% over the 25 year period, however, this mask considerable variation when looking at broad age bands.  The population aged between 0-15 years is expected to grow by 7% in the 25 year period while those aged between 16-64 years is looking at a fall of 0.2%.  Those aged 65 years or over are expected to increase by nearly two thirds (64%) over 25 years and when we consider the population aged 90 years or over, this rises significantly to 269% (over 2 and a half times the current number of 90+ year olds).

Interactive population pyramidsThe ONS projections released yesterday are considerably lower than the previous 2010 and 2011-based projections across the county. This is likely to be due to the fact that the trends used in the 2012-based subnational population projections are based on a historical population series rebased following the 2011 Census while the trends used in the 2011- based subnational population projections are based on an older population series that does not reflect the findings of the 2011 Census. Other reasons include:

  • changes in the population estimate, used as the base year in the projections, between mid-2011 and mid-2012,
  • changes in the trends (births, deaths and migration),
  • changes in assumptions for international migration at a national level

The team will be looking at these estimates in more detail over the coming weeks, however, ONS have produced an interactive tool to look at how the population is changing over time in your area.

To download the data or for more information, visit the ONS webpages.

 

Warwickshire Key Statistics – Victims of Crime

A report of Warwickshire Key Statistics – Victims of Crime has been produced for the Office of the Police CriFront Cover for blogme
Commissioner. The report examines Warwickshire victim data for the period of 1st April 2013 to 31st March 2014 which includes key findings from an analysis of Warwickshire Police and various victim support based agencies’ data.

The report provides an analysis by:

  • District and borough
  • Gender
  • Ethnicity
  • Crime type
  • Age

along with a typical victim profile for each district and borough in Warwickshire as shown below.
Victim Profiles

 

To read the full report, please click on the picture above. 

 

 

Achieving Social Inclusion Across Warwick District

Achieving Social Inclusion across Warwick District

Earlier this year,  a steering group convened by Warwick District Council commissioned the Observatory to produce an index to assess the scale and distribution of social exclusion in Warwick District. This evidence base will support the District and other partner agencies in reviewing their approach to improving social inclusion.

With the need to understand the geographical spread of social exclusion issues, our analysis focuses on spatial data.  However, there was also a recognised need to understand where specific themes may require more attention than others; therefore, the analysis is based upon producing a model that describes social exclusion at a local level whilst also identifying overarching themes that require district-wide attention.

The 53 indicators used in the index were grouped into the following 7 themes:

  • Isolation
  • Health and Wellbeing
  • Children and Young People
  • Income and Labour Market
  • Housing and Homes
  • Crime and Community Safety
  • Communities of Interest

The map and table below show the top ten areas that are most socially excluded across Warwick District according to this bespoke index.

Index of Social ExclusionLillington East in Crown ward is the most socially excluded area on the index. It is the worst performing area for two of the seven themes (Income and Labour Market and Children and Young People) and features in the top ten for five of the seven indicators. This area exhibits a wide range of exclusion related issues rather than a handful of problems which exist elsewhere.

Map of social exclusionOne of the benefits of producing the index at a very local level is areas are identified that may have been previously masked when looking at data at a higher level.  This is the case for the two Sydenham areas (ranked 3rd and 4th on the index) which sit within Willes ward. Sydenham North is the worst performing area in the District for two themes (Health & Wellbeing and Communities of Interest) and both areas have a diverse population in terms of the proportion of residents born abroad and ethnicity.

Half of the areas in the top 10 are in Brunswick ward. Stoneleigh is the first rural area to feature on the index as the 8th most socially excluded area in the District.

For more of the key messages and to access the report, please click on the link below:

Warwick District Social Exclusion Index Report

Warwick District Social Exclusion Index Appendices

The steering group have created a short project feedback survey for the Social Inclusion Index work.  Please could you spare a few minutes to let us have your feedback on the work and how you plan to use it by clicking on the link below:

Warwick-Social-Exclusion-Banner

Country of Birth – A focus on residents born in an EU Accession Country

This article focuses on data from the Census on the country that Warwickshire residents were born in. In particular, the number and proportion of residents that were born in an EU Accession country e.g. Poland, Romania, Lithuania.

Of Warwickshire residents, 8,880 advise that they were born in an EU Accession country, which is 2% of the total population. Of these residents the highest proportion are identified as being born in Poland (67%), with a further 4% born in Romania, 2% in Lithuania and 27% as ‘Other EU Accession Country’. This category includes Bulgaria, Latvia, Estonia, Slovenia and Slovakia.

Rugby Map

The highest number of people born in an EU Accession country reside in Rugby Borough (3,451 people). The following graphic shows the concentration of where these people live and also reveals some key facts.

  • 3,451 Rugby residents were born in an EU Accession country and 68% were born in Poland (2,344 residents).
  • Almost half (48%) of Rugby residents that were born in an EU Accession country (1,666 residents) were aged 25 to 34 years at the time of the Census.

For further information about the 2011 Census, or if you have any comments or suggestions for further areas of work, please contact the Observatory at research@warwickshire.gov.uk.

Census Profiler Update – Safer Neighbourhood Areas Added

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Due to a number of requests from users, we have made some more adjustments to our excel-based 2011 Census small area profiling tool and added in the geography of Safer Neighbourhood Areas (as well as Children’s Centre areas a few months ago). 

This tool allows you to generate your own 2011 Census profiles bringing together themes such as population, housing, ethnic background, religion, heath, education and employment at a number of different Warwickshire geographies including:

    • ONS geographies: Output Area, Lower Super Output Area (LSOA) and Middle Super Output Area (MSOA)
    • Wards
    • Localities
    • Electoral Divisions
    • Parishes
    • Children’s Centre Areas
    • Safer Neighbourhood Areas
    • District/Boroughs
    • Warwickshire
    • National & West Midlands Region comparators

The updated Census Profiler tool can be accessed using the link below:

2011 Census Small Area Profiler (June 2014)

NB: Please be aware this is a large file so it will take a few minutes to download.